Is Modine Manufacturing Company’s (NYSE:MOD) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?


Most readers would already be aware that Modine Manufacturing’s (NYSE:MOD) stock increased significantly by 106% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company’s financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Modine Manufacturing’s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Modine Manufacturing

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Modine Manufacturing is:

22% = US$98m ÷ US$447m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made $0.22 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficacy a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Modine Manufacturing’s Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

At first glance, Modine Manufacturing seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company’s ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 14%. For this reason, Modine Manufacturing’s five year net income decline of 31% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn’t translate into earnings growth. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven’t been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company’s growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has assigned capital poorly, for instance.

However, when we compared Modine Manufacturing’s growth with the industry we found that while the company’s earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 12% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

NYSE: MOD Past Earnings Growth August 17th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. If you’re wondering about Modine Manufacturing’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Modine Manufacturing Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Because Modine Manufacturing doesn’t pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Modine Manufacturing certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn’t the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that’s hampering its growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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